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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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From: carranza25/4/2005 6:05:26 PM
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Finished a conference today in which several eminent luminaries discussed timely issues. It was a thrill to be surrounded by first-class intellects instead of ...........working.

Today I sat through a one hour lecture by Francis Fukuyama on nation-building. Interesting, but not anything stupendous. A lot of what he said is simply stuff I "knew" but have never articulated.

However, a lecture by James Q. Wilson was out of this world. Simply excellent. His topic were the thoughts he has developed after studying crime dispassionately, mostly from a statistical standpoint.

A few short words about Wilson's points:

1.- Incarceration works;

2.- If you exclude homicide, the US has less crime than the most "advanced" Nordic countries and most of Europe--that was an eye opening counterintuitive statement but fully backed up with statistics;

3.-The Europeans disguise their crime problems in various ways and inadvertantly foment it by having crime control take place in a top down way, i.e., the national government, which adopts the "therapeutic" approach [I guess he didn't want to say "nanny state"in public] means that criminals are often coddled whereas the US mostly has local crime control which seems to be more effective;

4.- The three best predictors of criminal behavior are age, gender and genetics [and "genetics" is not a code word for race];

5.- Drug legalization is likely to increase crime;

6.- A home nursing program for young unwed mothers on how to care for their newborns is a tremendous way to reduce future crime;

7.- Education, or the lack of it, is not related to crime. Hmm, I'm still thinking about that point.

Many other good points but time is short. Look up his stuff if interested.
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