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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: mishedlo who wrote (29517)5/7/2005 1:24:28 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) of 116555
 
mish the key to recovery is hourly wages adjusted to real inflation - e.g. gov.. CPI, but add to it; + 25% of rise in home prices + 10% in rise in healthcare cost.

My guess is (3.1% + 5% + 3%)or over 11%, but hourly wages are up about 2.7% YoY way way below actual rate of inflation.

That is why retail sales are slowing and personal debt is rising even that labor participation is up a notch

One can argue that mortgage rates are close to their peak and therefore housing prices are irrelevant as rates will slide again - but to me debt is debt and must somehow be paid
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