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Technology Stocks : Applied Materials No-Politics Thread (AMAT)
AMAT 261.28+0.8%Dec 15 3:59 PM EST

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To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (14841)5/9/2005 2:19:30 PM
From: Big Bucks  Read Replies (1) of 25522
 
Brian....their call for an AMAT price target of $25 looks like
wishful thinking or an overly optimistic opinion...there will
be selling into any rally's which will keep the stock in its
current trading range for the foreseeable future. AMAT would
need to double its current sales to get to $25, IMO. There
is no significant market catalyst for that to happen, at this
time or within the next 18-24 months, IMO. Excess production
capacity can easily suck up any short to intermediate chip
demand increase and chip producers will focus on cost cutting
and profitability for the next 18-24 months while they build
cash resources for the next technology purchase cycle in
late 2007 - 2008. At that point it will be economically advantageous
to invest in sub .9uM technology. I see no screaming need for the industry to make a wholesale technology move into sub 90nM geometries at this time. There is plenty
of capacity and no real consumer/retail demand for bleeding
edge technologies, at this time, except for advanced CPU and memory applications, IMHO.
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