Re: With mounting US casualty in Iraq, Bush adminsteration can not take any action, other than slap their wrist at the UN. The country has too strong a ties with China, Japan, and Euroepan Countries, and the world public opinion will not accept.
US casualties in Iraq are mounting, to be sure, but then, compared to the 50,000 dead the US incurred in Vietnam... nothing to write home about, huh? Granted, times have changed and US opinion will not countenance another bloodshed the scale of 'Nam.
Perhaps I should remind you of the main reason why Zionists are fretting over the Iranian Bomb? The nuclear bomb will actually give the Iranian regime the leverage to check Israel's brutal oppression of the Palestinian people and its unilateral grab of ALL OF Jerusalem --in violation of scores of UN resolutions....
I guess the choice Israelis face is rather simple: either Israel goes Algeria's way or... South Africa's. Remember, during the French-Algerian war of 1954-62, even Frenchmen supportive of Algerian independence still envisioned an independent Algeria inhabited by Pieds Noirs. Provided that the latter abided by the one-man-one-vote rule and, insofar as Algerian authorities guaranteed their property rights, why would the Pied-Noir settlers have to leave the country? Well, as you know, it didn't pan out this way... Diehards of Algérie Française eventually set up the OAS terrorist outfit and screwed it up so much so that, in the end, ALL of the Pieds Noirs faced a single choice: "The suitcase or the coffin". That's Israel's worst-case scenario. A better, if not best, case scenario for Israel is South Africa's peaceful revolution: white settlers graciously handed over the political power to the black majority and most of them remained in South Africa, following the bloodless transition to democracy. But then, as I once pointed out, Nelson Mandela and the ANC were not offered a "rump democracy", they were not offered a token sovereignty over "East Johannesburg" nor a scattered territory dotted with white settlements --like in the West Bank and Gaza....
Re: Then there is another scenario. Creating a cause to attack Iran. This will be a danagerous game to play, and not worth it.
Not worth it?! Well, I guess it depends on whose perspective you take... From Israel's perspective, an even more dangerous "game" would be to leave the Iranian caravan roll all the way up to the nuclear terminus while both the US and EU dogs bark.
I'm afraid the only lifeline that Iran could safely rely upon is the India-China axis, with emphasis on China. The way I see it is that, somehow, Iran and Taiwan are linked --they really are bundled issues... I believe WWIII will stem from Iran's hybrid nature, that is, from Iran's being both a Middle East country AND an Asian one... Iran is actually a pivotal power straddling two worlds, the Middle East and (Central) Asia. Hence, a Judeofascist assault on Iran will disrupt Asia's balance of power as much as it will further upset the Middle East's....
Gus |