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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: Slagle who wrote (63985)5/19/2005 10:27:35 PM
From: Snowshoe  Read Replies (2) of 74559
 
>>Can Chinese agriculture support a large scale ethanol industry and feed the country too? I thought the North China wheat growing lands were similar to our upper midwest but not as productive due to less fertile soil and a dryer and cooler climate.<<

I doubt it. On a per capita basis, the US is in better shape than China for producing bio-fuels. The current corn-based US ethanol production is a joke, because it relies on a lot of fossil-fuel inputs. But cellulose-based ethanol has serious potential.

Imagine vast tracts of perennial native switchgrass that does not require energy for annual plowing, seeding and cultivation. Mix in wild legumes to provide nitrogen fixation from the atmosphere, so you don't need artificial fertilizer inputs derived from natural gas. Rely on natural rainfall instead of irrigation. Then convert the plant material to ethanol using enzymes and/or bacteria. For further energy savings, the University of Minnesota is developing a method to run a fuel cell directly from a water/ethanol mix. This would save much of the energy currently wasted in the distillation process to separate ethanol from water. Then burn the fuel in lightweight carbon-fiber vehicles.

With the above innovations and a stable population, we might be able to preserve some vestige of our current lifestyle on a sustainable basis.
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