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Strategies & Market Trends : IPO and Other Stock Plays
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From: yossarian675/20/2005 9:27:20 AM
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bigpicture.typepad.com

I feel very strongly if the fed doesn't go to nuetral next raise or at the VERY least at 3 1/2 this market will freefall. the worst thing anyone long can hear is raising to 3 1/2 and continuing 'measured pace'.....I'd almost like to see a 50 basis point raise here next time(you know they're going to 3 1/2 no matter what) and a nuetral bias....this economy is slowing pretty quickly, these tariffs aren't going to help either...if the fed is intent on capping housing, the result will be a quick recession and a freefall in the indices...I feel as strong about this as anything since I've been trading. especially with these tariffs...the recovery from last recession has been as mild as that recession...we're on dangerous ground here and the fed in the past has always gone too far---hope they are keeping an eye on the 10 year and the weakening economic indicators---they're telling the story imo.
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