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Strategies & Market Trends : How To Write Covered Calls - An Ongoing Real Case Study!

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To: KELLIS who wrote (4521)	9/8/1997 3:19:00 PM
From: hpeace	of 14162

this is thre federal version not like store to store sales released Preview Briefing expects the August retail sales report to reveal a 0.8% overall increase and a 0.6% gain excluding autos. The market is looking for 0.6% and 0.5%. If our estimates prove accurate then the August retail sales report will display broad-based strength. Excellent housing-market conditions have produced strong showings from the building materials and furniture segments all year, and August looks to prove no different. In terms of transport, a strong unit-vehicle sales showing will produce an increase in the retail auto segment, and a pop in gasoline prices will produce a surge in sales at gasoline stations. Meantime chain-store sales figures for August point to good gains in the apparel and general merchandise segments. A 0.8% increase in July personal consumption expenditure got Q3 spending off to a smart start (remember that PCE feeds directly into the GDP calculation). Indeed, we are well on our way to a quarterly increase in the neighborhood of 3.5% even in the absence of robust August and/or September showings. Note that if our August retail estimate proves accurate then third-quarter consumption will come in better than 4.0% and possibly as high as 4.6%.

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