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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH
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To: Wayners who wrote (686601)6/22/2005 2:24:04 PM
From: DuckTapeSunroof  Read Replies (1) of 769670
 
That's easy to answer.... the murderous Dictator Saddam did not allow armed third parties to roam around his turf --- he killed all he could get his hands on AND their families.

But, with him gone, the floodgates have opened (& most especially: the neighboring Sunni countries want to regain Sunni rule in Iraq, so they are financing the revolt. More then HALF of all the 'foreigners' captured there are from Saudi Arabia).

My estimate is that --- if the US withdrew to get the big target off of our backs --- that despite their numerical inferiority the Sunnis would prevail in many battles and recapture much land from the Shia.

Likely Iran would feel compelled to intervene (openly or not) to help their co-religionist Shiites... to counter-balance the support for the Sunnis coming from Saudi Arabia/Syria/Jordan/ & the Gulf States.

Likely matters will only be settled by a clarifying civil war... possibly ending in the partition of 'Iraq' into Shia/Sunni/Kurdish zones.

(After all, Iraq is a highly artificial nation with unnatural borders. It's borders were draw up in one afternoon over drinks by Churchill and 'Lawrence of Arabia'... and their goal was NOT to make a strong nation, or unite tribes and ethnic groups... but rather to come up with something easy for British troops to administer (a 'weak' country), and keep the oil flowing.
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