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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: redfish who wrote (32496)6/23/2005 5:26:39 AM
From: zonder  Read Replies (1) of 116555
 
Any significant decrease from CURRENT profitability of a company going public is a "significant issue".

As a potential investor, you take this year's expected earnings and look at the P/E of the IPO price with it, then say to yourself, "Hmm, 10x P/E is really cheap for such a high-growth company". If PartyGaming's profitability is going to decrease from 58% to 38% in five years (or possibly even in two years), such multiple comparisons are no longer valid. You need to look at DCF valuation, which will be SEVERELY affected by lower profitability in this near future.

Sorry but this is going to be my last post on this subject. You must have understood by now what I am trying to say.
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