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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: shades who wrote (65400)6/23/2005 5:29:39 PM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (3) of 74559
 
FDG sells metalurgical coal which is used in making steel.

Met coal is price much higher than steam coal.

If there is a steel glut, both prices and volume could drop, bringing FDG down to a better price.

Note that the Baltic Dry Index has been dropping a bit, but is still high.

The FDG chart looks like it will go flat or down.

You can get a similar yield in some utilities, like HE, Hawaiian Electric, or a little lower in Duke Power, DUK.

FDG has a world class deposit in a great place, close to markets, with rule of law, back bacon, etc.
I think the key is to buy it low, hold it, and only sell when it is way overpriced or looking at a sharp drop in prices.
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