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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Paul Senior who wrote (16539)6/30/2005 1:02:26 AM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (1) of 78666
 
Auto retailers. The stocks continue to drop. The drop has been sharper after GM announced it will sell cars at the employee price, and Chrysler is considering the same tactic.

Apparently this hurts the retailers two ways: first, the price is apparently fixed - no haggling, so that perhaps reduces the ability of the salespeople to negotiate higher profits among the otherwise not-so-savy car shoppers. Secondly, that low employee price also drops the price of used cars, so there's apparently less profit potential from used cars on the dealers' lots. (Used car sales are a significant contributor to dealer profits.)

Over time I've sold down my positions in the sector, and now I only hold stub positions. At this point I'm willing to begin building up GPI, which is at a 12-month low now. Merrill Lynch has downgraded the sector, and estimates that GPI will earn $3.20/sh. next year. Imo, that's not too bad given that the stock is under $25/sh., trading close to stated book value, and with a price/sales figure of .11. Debt/eq. is high per Yahoo number of 1.9/1, and that stated book value number includes the acquisitions GPI makes as it expands geographically and by franchise.

finance.yahoo.com
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