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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets!
LRCX 218.30+8.6%Jan 9 9:30 AM EST

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To: Investor2 who wrote (2514)9/9/1997 6:17:00 AM
From: Sam Citron   of 10921
 
I2,

I cannot speak for Cary, but we had a substantial discussion on this topic a couple of weeks back [not here, but on the AMAT thread, as I recall] as AMAT made its first dazzling approach toward the psychologically important $100 per share barrier. I believe Cary said that he expects AMAT to reach $220 or so by the year 2000. That is still not a bad increase from today's price of $94. He stated that he would not be a new buyer at current levels, at least not until he hears AMAT's forecasts for next year in November. But that does not imply that one should sell the shares either. I assume he feels that AMAT is neither undervalued nor overvalued at current prices and that he can find no compelling bargains to take AMAT's cornerstone place in his portfolio.

Cary did say that he is operating in paranoid mode (in the best Grovesian sense of the term, I might add). So he is not being complaisant either. But given the fact that there may well be a substantial middle range, in which an intangible is neither underpriced nor overpriced, what makes you think AMAT may be a sell?

SC
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