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Pastimes : Gamblers--can you make a living?

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To: Solon who wrote (15)7/4/2005 12:20:39 AM
From: Mark Marcellus  Read Replies (3) of 113
 
I also double on tens against a ten when the dealer has checked and found no blackjack. Firstly, I automatically have the superior chances for getting a 21 with an ace. Secondly, I have as much chance as he/she of getting 17 to 20 on my only allowed pull. We both have an equal chance of getting 12, 13, 14, 15, 16. (as I said--he already has from 12 up to 20. In the 12 to 16 range we are both in trouble but he MUST draw while I MUST stay.

That doesn't seem right. The dealer is showing a 10. If you start with a 12-16, your best play is to draw another card, and that would still be true if you make 12-16 on your third card. Losing the option to take another card when you draw a 2-6 on your double seems to me to be a definite disadvantage. Blackjack odds are confusing, and I'm no expert, but I doubt that the elimination of the possibility of a dealer blackjack is enough of an advantage to make up for that lost option.
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