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Technology Stocks : Semi-Equips - Buy when BLOOD is running in the streets!
LRCX 218.30+8.6%Jan 9 9:30 AM EST

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To: Sam Citron who wrote (2520)9/9/1997 10:43:00 AM
From: Teri Skogerboe   of 10921
 
Sam, Cary, TD, Ian,

Looks like you guys covered almost everything. My 2 cents, I listened
to the last CYMI conference call and Management appeared to me to be
very capable. So why the long silence. IMO, they should clear the
air and end the big mystery. (I don't own any CYMI.) First Call is
below. Looks like a couple of downward adjustments to estimates. But
good forward growth is expected. ts

FIRST CALL EARNINGS ESTIMATES

CYMI Cymer Inc. 09/08/97
Industry: Indus Tech SIC: 3861
Latest Price: $69.13 1997 P/E: 41.4
Analyst Recommendation: 1.5

QTR QTR FY FY
Sep 97 Dec 97 Dec 97 Dec 98
--- --- -- --
CURRENT MEAN EPS 0.43 0.47 1.67 2.23
Number of Brokers 4 4 4 4

Median 0.43 0.47 1.68 2.25
Standard Deviation 0.02 0.01 0.03 0.08
Current High 0.45 0.48 1.70 2.30
Current Low 0.40 0.45 1.63 2.12

Year Ago EPS 0.20A 0.25A 0.56A 1.67
Current vs. Year Ago Change 115% 88% 198% 34%
Report Date wk/Oct 24 wk/Jan 30 wk/Jan 30 -

EARNINGS ESTIMATE REVISION MOMENTUM

Up Revisions last 7 days 0 0 0 0
Up Revisions last 30 days 0 0 0 0
Down Revisions last 7 days 1 1 1 1
Down Revisions last 30 days 1 1 1 1

EARNINGS ESTIMATES CONSENSUS TRENDS

Current Mean 0.43 0.47 1.67 2.23
7-days ago Mean 0.44 0.48 1.70 2.28
30-days ago Mean 0.44 0.48 1.70 2.28
60-days ago Mean 0.35 0.39 1.35 1.97
90-days ago Mean 0.35 0.39 1.35 1.97

COMPARATIVE ESTIMATES AND TRENDS

Industry - Indus Tech 4.87 5.78 21.49 26.44
Current vs. Year Ago Change 7% 87% 13% 23%

Sector - TECHNOLOGY 9.09 11.57 38.32 47.50
Current vs. Year Ago Change 27% 22% 27% 24%

WSJ/DJ US Index 10.93 11.74 43.42 49.45
Current vs. Year Ago Change 13% 15% 14% 14%

Ratios Relative To: Company Industry Sector WSJ/DJ

P/E on 1997 Cal Yr Mean 41.4 22.08 26.10 20.32
PEG on 1997 Cal Yr Mean 0.83 1.26 1.54 1.70

RECOMMENDATION AND GROWTH RATES

RECOMMENDATIONS LONG TERM GROWTH RATES

Current Mean 1.5 Next 5 yrs - Median 50%
Number of Brokers 4 Number of Brokers 1
Industry Recommendation: 1.9 Industry Growth Rate: 18%

7-days ago Mean 1.5 Next 5 yrs - High 50%
30-days ago Mean 1.5 Next 5 yrs - Low 50%
60-days ago Mean 1.3 Last 5 Years NM
90-days ago Mean 1.3

Diff. from Industry +0.4 Rel. to Industry 2.9
Diff. from Sector +0.5 Rel. to Sector 3.0
Diff. from WSJ/DJ US +0.7 Rel. to WSJ/DJ US 4.2

Transmitted: 09/09/97 09:04 (E_CYMI)
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