Hurricane Emily weakens to a Category 3 Storm...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA SALINAS WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC/HAITI BORDER...AND FOR THE ENTIRE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC/HAITI BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.
As of 2 p.m. EDT, Hurricane Emily was centered at 14.5 north, 72.0 west, or about 395 miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica. The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 millibars (28.61 inches). Maximum sustained winds are 115 mph with higher gusts. Movement is west at 20 mph. Even though Emily has weakened to category 3, she remains a dangerous hurricane. Emily should stay in a mostly favorable environment for the next couple of days, one that will keep her intensity at category 3 or 4. Shear remains low, average surface pressures in the area remain low, and water temperatures remain high. Emily will take a track south of Hispaniola this afternoon, and is on a course that will take it close to or just south of Jamaica tomorrow morning. Emily will make landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula Sunday afternoon or Sunday night. Emily may pose a threat to the Mexican coast or even the South Texas Coast sometime Tuesday or Wednesday of next week. A tropical wave is in the middle of the Atlantic, along 43 west, south of 22 north, with a 1011 millibar low along the wave axis, near 16 north. This system seems be better organized, in comparison to 24 hours ago, and will be watched for development, even though the upper-level winds are not entirely favorable. A tropical wave is in the far eastern Atlantic, along 25 west, south of 19 north, moving west. There is no strong convection, or thunderstorm activity, associated with this wave. There is a tropical wave along 52 west, south of 12 north. This system is in between Emily, and the well-organized wave in the central Atlantic, and is not likely to develop.
hurricane.accuweather.com
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