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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory
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To: el_gaviero who wrote (36145)7/16/2005 10:35:39 PM
From: John Vosilla  Read Replies (2) of 110194
 
We went through this with the commercial RE bubble 15-20 yrs ago and tech/telecom bubble of the late 1990s. Everybody involved in the process gets hurt real bad. Leveraged speculators plus debt holders as the main bagholders. Easy access to capital, excess supply constructed, overvaluation of equity, too much debt, too little cash flow and unrealistic optimistic future projections assumed by the everybody in the game seem to be common denominators every time. The savers who are not involved in the process come through unscathed and those few that are smart sift through the rubble after the crash and really make out best of all besides those who got out early in the original bubble which are very few. Life goes on and other things pick up the slack. Inflation, devaluation and time value of money always take their toll on any saver who never takes the chance and puts their money into a productive investment. Nothing new there but timing is everything in the end.
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