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Pastimes : My House
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To: Sun Tzu who wrote (7672)7/20/2005 8:54:44 PM
From: TimF  Read Replies (2) of 7689
 
I think Sadr used the violence to make a bigger name for himself and is now trying to use that as a basis to get as much political power through peaceful, or at least mostly peaceful, means as he can. I suppose its possible that if it doesn't work out as well as he expects he could try to return to violence but I think that would be a mistake on his part, even when measured in terms of his own self interest alone.

Now it might be different if you get a combination of the US leaving and the Iraqi government falling. Then you get open civil war and everyone fighting for their piece. I don't think that will happen, but I can't dismiss the possibility entirely.

Tim
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