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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices
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To: TimF who wrote (242640)7/22/2005 1:53:35 AM
From: tejek  Read Replies (1) of 1576613
 
So if you disagree with her very reasonable hypothesis, than the onus is on you to disprove it with empirical evidence that contradicts that hypothesis, or to shut up and move on yourself.

Not really. A gratuitous assertion can be gratuitously denied. The fact that she might have made the statement first doesn't mean we have to accept it as the default position.

If you object, then the burden of proof lies with you.

You have presented no evidence that the pool of applicants is not in the same ratio as the general population. However, even if the ratio for the pool of applicants is not 50/50 [like the general population] but 60/40 or 70/30 in favor of the men, it very unlikely to come any where near the ratio of the current Court which is roughly 90/10 in favor of the men.

I think its less likely to reach 60/40 than it is to be 90/10. The pool would be respected accomplished conservative senior judges (under another president it might be respected accomplished liberal senior judges). I wouldn't be surprised if the ratio for the current pool is 90/10. OTOH it is probably shifting. Give it another generation or two and it certainly won't be 90/10, it might even be more like 50/50.

Eric has provided factual evidence that the ratio is 80/20 in favor of the men. The current ratio on the court is 90/10.

Regarding one of your other criteria, Roberts is hardly a senior judge. He's been a federal judge for only two years. Since that is the case, almost anyone of the federal judges would have been eligible, including all the women made judges since 1997.

ted
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