Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Bob Brinker: Market Savant & Radio Host

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To: Tim Bagwell who wrote (22056)	7/22/2005 10:19:02 AM
From: Kirk ©	Read Replies (1) of 42834

Lets try this: Wilshire 5000 Index Portfolio Ret (WFIVX) adjusted for dividends finance.yahoo.com 5-Jan-00 (Date for prices shown on Jan 2000 Marketimer) = $10.77 7/21/05 = $10.38 Down 3.6% My guess is 30% into QQQQ as per Brinker's advice comes out ahead and 50% into QQQQ also as per Brinker's advice comes out losing ground but I'd sure like to see your numbers to confirm or deny it. I believe David Korn and others like Brimelow have said it is pretty much a wash... if you add in the 5% he recommended his agressive investors put into TEFQX that is now down 80% or 90%... who else is agressive but those 100% in the market like his P1 or P2 followers with no allocation to bonds? FWIW, you can be at a wash but the beta of those who have a portfolio heavy in QQQQ is much higher than those who have a portfolio 100% in Wilshire5000. Thus the risk adjusted performance is lower. It might make sense to compare the beta of the different portfolios when you make comparisons too. You can't eat risk adjusted return but it is useful to see if you got extra performance for the extra risk taken.

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