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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: michael97123 who wrote (166800)7/22/2005 11:36:28 AM
From: Elsewhere  Read Replies (3) of 281500
 
Hi Mike,

<Can you give us a little info on how the german election plays out.>

Very difficult to tell, too many unknowns:
1 Will the Federal Constitutional Court allow the election?
news.yahoo.com
2 Will the current poll leaders, a CDU/FDP coalition, be able to maintain its lead? A new Socialist party has been founded which is rapidly gaining popularity.
3 What will Merkel's policy really be? Currently the chancellor candidate of the Conservatives only presents a very rough outline of what she is planning to do.

<What are the rules of the campaign?>

The one thing which seems to be certain is the date, September 18. Technically Germany uses the d'Hondt method.
en.wikipedia.org

<Who are the candidates?>

Angela Merkel, currently the likely winner:
bundestag.de
Gerhard Schröder, Chancellor under pressure:
bundestag.de
Guido Westerwelle, possibly Merkel's coalition partner:
bundestag.de
Joschka Fischer, leader of the Greens:
bundestag.de
The two leaders of the new Socialist party:
Oskar Lafontaine
bundestag.de
Gregor Gysi
bundestag.de

<Who has the edge?>

Here's a poll page:
wahlrecht.de

<Strengths and weaknesses.>

Too much for this post - if anybody is interested apart from you I can discuss the parties, one at a time :)

<Do you have a sense that this could be a turning point type of election for Germany?>

Difficult to predict. There are strong forces trying to maintain the status quo - but without structural changes Germany will hit a wall.
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