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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: regli who wrote (34080)7/23/2005 12:24:35 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) of 116555
 
From HarryHope on the FOOL on UK US similarities

Both countries have large trade deficits. Both have rapidly shrinking manufacturing. Both have had housing bubbles. The UK's appears to be on the way down and with it a significant drop in consumer spending. I haven't read anything that does not agree with a loss in consumer spending in the US when housing goes down.

Yes I know some do not believe there's a bubble in the US. But housing has always been cyclical and it's been in a sustained boom in the US for a long time. It will turn down and the UK experience indicates so will consumer spending.

Many people that a housing bubble will burst in the US. Up to now in the UK it seems like a long drawn out process although it may accelerate.

The 2 countries are in a similar situation. It seems profitable to follow the UK as harbinger for the US and the many other countries experiencing long term housing booms.

However, because the US has been such a global driving force, we may see a domino effect from a US housing/consumer drop.
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