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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: jttmab who wrote (167014)7/24/2005 11:18:29 PM
From: Sun Tzu  Read Replies (2) of 281500
 
Take a look at the map of Eurasia from East to West. Japan, if indeed it wished, could produce nukes on short notice. North Korea is nuclear. Same for China, India, and Pakistan. Russia of course stretches over the whole northern Asia all the way to eastern Europe and is nuclear. Kazakhstan could probably be nuclear if it wanted to and in any event has more than a few nukes stationed there. So as you go from East to West, the first major stop without a nuke is Iran and then Iraq and Turkey. Israel has 400 nukes. As do France and Britain. But more importantly, EU may be considered more or less a nuclear block.

The point I am making is that a good chunk of the world is already within a nuclear umbrella of one sort or another. And if we have seen anything with certainty, it is that technology will proliferate no matter what...or else American indians would still be using bow and arrow.

There is a very limited window of opportunity within which to transform the world from a lawless wild west to a civilized place. This is the philosophy that says together we will share a much bigger pie than by fighting the winner can have alone. This approach also reduces conditions that promote terrorism and discontent. It is in direct conflict with the neoconian hegemony or the raw capitalist neo-colonialism mindset.

If this window of opportunity is missed, when those who claim their rights (or whatever they perceive to be their rights) by threat of nuclear arms will see little reason to value diplomacy.
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