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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Sun Tzu who wrote (167099)7/25/2005 11:15:40 AM
From: jttmab  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
This is the mistake that so many make and is the illusion behind current NPT regime. Building nuclear bombs is a 60 year old technology. Anyone who puts his mind to it, even a private group, can do it, let alone governments.

Why didn't Libya have the bomb? They had a U-235 reactor operating since 1983. They gave up. Iraq had been working on one for quite some time. They weren't even able to figure out how to extract weapons grade uranium. Iran got the plans for the intial design of US nukes during the 1980s through a FOIA request. That design information was declassified during the 80s.

On the other hand, I think that what's more likely is a biological weapon. Designer viruses. Cheap [compared to nuclear devolopment, small labs, easily concealed, the only challenge is genetic manipulation of an existing virus. The research going on in that arena is largely publicly available and written in such detail that it is intended to be peer reviewed.

NPT should not be based on the illusion that other can't/shouldn't/won't have nuclear weapons. It should promote diplomacy on the basis that everyone has a nuke at home. The difficult negotiations that will have to be made in such a world (coming to you in a near future) are better accomplished now before the fact than at the time.

Perhaps some do. I've thought of it more as a waiting game. Will man evolve enough to not need nuclear weapons before one or more goes off? Just stalling for time.

jttmab
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