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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory
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To: Tommaso who wrote (37382)7/31/2005 10:43:57 PM
From: Crusader  Read Replies (3) of 110194
 
< Houses, stocks and bonds: Down. Commodities: up. >

One thing I wonder though about this theory is that yes I could see stocks and bonds being down but how long would house prices be down when the basic raw materials to replace them are rising? Rising energy costs are a factor too. Is it really a housing bubble or is it just becoming more expensive to build a home?

Of course there is speculation that will definitely become subdued but in the end I just find it hard to believe that house prices will drop in value below replacement cost which keeps rising. I'm just playing devil's advocate here but in all honesty can any of us really know what is going to ultimately happen?
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