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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis
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To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (35463)8/16/2005 4:32:52 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) of 116555
 
KK[KA234] third K showing

Other guy showing lets say a 6
??6
He would not raise without 3 low cards IMO
so lets look for losing combinations off that starts
Here is one
A46[64KQ]

I see I was wrong about it being impossible to lose both but he would have to catch the 4th King and pair his hole card twice
A46[46KQ]
In that case KKK** wins High
and K432A wins low over KQ64A

I guess A46[QQQK] loses it all as well.
But A46[QQQJ] does win low.
So catching the 4th K and trips loses as well.

Odds not impossible as I said, just extremely remote.
Specifically it took pairing hole card twice and getting 4th king or catching open trips and the 4th king
I guess there is one more losing combination
A46[774K] which is an open pair in addition to pairing hole card and once again getting the 4th King

Btw the next card was something like a 5 or a 3
With each bet it got worse for the KK's
The following card was something like a 7
a4657 which was a lock for half. I do think he paired the next card then caught an 8

It seems to me that all losing comibinations for the guy going low require catching 4th King in addition to two other pair cards or trips. Not likely. There is also one additional requriement, if the Guy with KKK does catch a full boat, he can no longer win it all, and barring at straight flush, neither side can win it all..

As I said, phooey on going long but you did force me to look at my original statement further. It was possible for the guy going low to lose it all, just not very likely.

Mish
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