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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: Earlie who wrote (35687)8/22/2005 6:31:32 PM
From: valueminded  Read Replies (2) of 116555
 
Earlie:

Agreed and good points, however..... The problem is that the things that have gone down in price form far less % of personal and small business budgets then those things that have gone up.

For example, you mention manufactured items & electronics. Well they have gone down in price however on the business front, our liability insurance, taxes, medical insurance, shipping and legal expenses have gone up far more then those have gone down. My point is the items which are decreasing in price are small potatoes compared to those increasing in price.

A final point is that the dollar will come to a resting place somewhere. The issue is do you believe that the dollar is currently fairly valued or undervalued ? If so, then deflation makes sense. But in my case, I think we have had too much easy money for too long which has created a scenario in which the world is flooded (imo) with dollars. I expect that in the end when we look at what a dollar is worth, it will be valued at less tomorrow then it is today.

All that said, I wouldn't be surprised to see a bout of stagflation before the dollar gets realigned.
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