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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (68199)8/28/2005 5:56:03 AM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (2) of 74559
 
Katrina's previous path toward the middle of panhandle Florida would have threaten almost no energy facilities, the present path about 220 miles West will threaten about 1/3 of US Gulf production, more than Ivan, because the path is west of Ivan's path, and the Hurricane likley to be stronger.

Right now, chances are about > 15% that New Orleans ends up under water. That can result in insurance claims of about 100 billion USD.

*****nostalgic wandering annecdote goes here********

I briefly lived in suburban New Orleans as a small child. Having no car, I could not drive to down town to enjoy the culture...

When it would rain hard, my friends and I would pick crawfish out of the gutters that ran to the storm drains on our street. We would put them in old empty Mayonaise jars and other left over containers.

People, mostly always black, would drive by to get the crawfish, and some times we would get paid a nickle or a dime if we had a jar with 4 or 5 big ones. Most of the time we were happy to give them away, happy to do something useful and fun, at the same time playing in the warm rain and the mud.

A nickle would by a popsicle, so this was pretty good, a dime even better.

Nowadays, these are called "Prawns" and cost a lot more....

******

As whitepine has pointed out, only the Canadian energy plays have near zero exposure to Katrina.

******

I really don't like the idea of New Orleans being destroyed.

Besides property, there a many people who won't leave, or will wait until what they think is the last minute to leave, which will have pasted hours ago.

In a way New Orleans is like Atlantis, if Atlantis was built 10 feet below sea level, and protected by levees made of soft mud, and with a huge river running the middle of town.

Living next to the San Andreas and Hayward fault lines, I cannot understand that idea of urban planning.
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