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Strategies & Market Trends : Befriend the Trend Trading
SPY 685.66+0.2%Dec 5 4:00 PM EST

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To: Casaubon who wrote (38198)10/17/2005 12:07:04 AM
From: Walkingshadow   of 39683
 
Hi Casubon,

Just a semantic thing. You are correct, that is a chart of the yield, so because yield moves inversely to price in the secondary market, treasuries are oversold. But that might be a bit confusing to people looking at the chart of the yield, which is clearly overbought.

Here's a more accurate way to look at it:

futuresource.com
So far in overnight trading, treasuries have begun to reverse as anticipated.

There are at least two ways to play this: long the underlying, or short the yield.

<< probably result in a bounce of TLT, yes? >>

No, I don't think so. I think it is the other way around. The iShares only trades about a million shares a day or so. And I doubt whether they can be shorted, at least for all practical purposes. The secondary treasuries market is much larger.

T
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