Abgenix, Inc. (ABGX) Message Board

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Biotech / Medical : Abgenix, Inc. (ABGX)

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To: keokalani'nui who wrote (464)	10/18/2005 6:26:00 PM
From: tuck	Read Replies (1) of 590

We're probably looking at noise in various ways here. Options activity has been huge. Wonder if it relates to folks rolling positions out another month, or betting news will come out before expiration. Both? I haven't looked closely at IVs, but you'd need a two point move to pay for an October straddle, and middling results -- which are quite possible -- makes that a somewhat dicey strategy, even if one knew results would be out before expiration. I think, whether ABX-EGF works or not, the best strategy, risk/reward-wise, is to wait for the news to come out and then go long. Then there's that hedge fund manager Peter once quoted as saying "short clinical trials" . . . Good luck to all. No direct position but my Mom has a bit of CEGE, so hoping for the best. Cheers, Tuck

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