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Pastimes : Hurricane and Severe Weather Tracking
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To: Oral Roberts who wrote (4519)10/19/2005 10:05:59 AM
From: Road Walker  Read Replies (1) of 26116
 
Looking at the projected track, and using common sense (for a change), it seems to me that there is A LOT of uncertainty about where it makes landfall in FL. With the projected hard right turn, if the storm slows a little, or speeds up a little, it could create a large variance. If the factor that creates the turn changes a bit, it creates a large variance in track.

I guess what I'm saying, is that even though the computer models are very consistent, I think everybody on the west coast of Florida better keep a close eye on this thing. That sharp right turn creates a lot of variables... and when it happens, the storm is supposed to accelerate into landfall.

John
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