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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Dale Baker who wrote (22326)10/22/2005 1:52:56 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (1) of 78594
 
I buy and sell for a combination of maybe rational and emotional reasons, so my behavior is not necessarily consistent.

Each situation is different. Sometimes I try to put myself in the position of an owner: Would an owner sell because of a bad quarter? Or as a stockholder: Where will this stock be, or could it be, in 12-24 months?

I’m diversified, and my positions are relatively very small. This enables me to sometimes consider each stock as what I perceive a rich person might. Bad news and/or a stock drop in an individual position isn’t going to affect me that much. (Conversely of course, neither is good news or a stock rise in any particular stock)
I feel I don't need to rush performance. Since most companies’ fortunes are cyclical – not too many have continuous good times – I sometimes feel I can afford to live with what I have and wait for the better times to come around. Sometimes I do panic or lose patience and toss out the stock.

I agree with Spekulatius – the difficulty is getting back in if one sell on bad news. Even if I sell and put the stock on my watch list, it seems I don’t focus on it as a buy if/as it drifts lower – my observation of it only confirms my judgment to have sold it. If the stock recovers, sometimes it’s so gradual, I don’t notice it – or so abrupt I figure I’ve missed my opportunity for getting back in. (And I am one who will sometimes buy back at a higher price than what I sold it for.)

I'm often willing to buy into a bad situation which I suspect might be reversed. I find that value stocks (as I figure value) commonly get even cheaper, so I want to be prepared for this by anticipating that I might be adding shares if the stock drops.
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