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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: GraceZ who wrote (43634)10/26/2005 1:48:18 AM
From: Live2SailRead Replies (2) of 306849
 
"Take some time to investigate. How does an increase in sales of existing homes help to alleviate a persistent gap in housing unit construction?"

Grace,

What does the above have to do with the fact that Prop. 13 gives people an incentive to stay put. Also, your statistic of 6.5% turnover in CA versus 5% for the entire country means little to nothing about the effect of Prop. 13 as a "Tax on moving." You have an observational statistic with confounding variables. It's a weak correlation at best, and correlation is not causality.

See these papers that describe the "Lock-in" effect and the incentive to stay put because of Prop. 13:
scholar.google.com
scholar.google.com
scholar.google.com

Just because something is conventional wisdom doesn't necesarily mean it's wrong.
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