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Biotech / Medical : Immunex

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To: rich evans who wrote (88)9/12/1997 7:53:00 PM
From: The Thrifty Investor   of 656
 
Rich,

I believe that your assumption of $100 per year for Enbrel is wrong. Rheumatoid Arthritis is a cripling disease. There are presently no drugs available to help except general over the counter pain relievers. Asthma drugs can cost around $50 per month and there is lots of competition. It is not unreasonable to expect Immunex to make $600 * 1.5 million = $900 million in revenues * 50% profit margin = $450 million in profit. $450 million / 40 million shares gives an $11.25 mature EPS. Add to this a nice pipeline and by the year 2000 this company could be worth about $200 per share. DLJ gave a 1 year target price of $120 on IMNX today. This is the second time I've owned IMNX. I owned the shares back in the 1992-1993 timeframe and enjoyed a nice runup back then. Hopefully, my pleasant experience will be repeated.

Best Regards,
The Thrifty Investor
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