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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: CalculatedRisk who wrote (40603)11/4/2005 11:26:02 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) of 116555
 
5 REASONS THE FED WILL FUMBLE IN 2006
Even with a new chief at the helm, the Fed is heading toward a policy blunder that will inflict a lot of pain on investors. Here are five big reasons why.
By Jim Jubak

moneycentral.msn.com

The odds are now better than 60/40 that the Federal Reserve will overshoot in 2006. It now looks, to me at least, like new Fed chairman Ben Bernanke will finish the inflation battle that Alan Greenspan started by raising interest rates so high that the economy starts to stall sometime next year.
The Fed will then be forced to reverse course and start to cut short-term interest rates at the same measured pace that it used to raise them from the June 2004 low.
Here are the five reasons I believe the Federal Reserve will give investors a painful demonstration of its all-too-human fallibility in 2006.
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