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Pastimes : Trade Blogg Ideas Inter Alia

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To: Rutgers who wrote (119)11/8/2005 8:31:36 AM
From: Rutgers  Read Replies (1) of 285
 
EDGR and SGTL - and brief status update:

EDGR - Earnings report was slightly below Q3 guidance and stock has sold off, but this has been a 2006 story. So, we'll see. According to this post on Yahoo, "We are going to participate in the Wall Street Analysts Forum in NYC in December and expect to do 1 – 2 per month going forward.Best,
Michael R. Frank"
finance.messages.yahoo.com

EDGR will be embarking on a road show of sorts. Key is what Insiders do. Does the RU prof purchase more at this lower price point? As for me, I am thinking of waiting to see a definite bottom before purchasing more. Of course, I am not purchase anymore. I still think that they have a tremendous product, but sales have to start to ramp. Perhaps I would be better off waiting to see the sales ramp and purchasing more at a higher price than purchasing more at a lower price if sales never ramp.....

SGTL - I was really high on this company. Q3 Earnings report was actually better than expected, but the stock sold off. Unfortunately, mgt appears to have a credibility issue with the Street that can only be rehabilitated over time. I think Insider activity should be watched here as well. They issued a nice PR this morning about a product that is future oriented. It will be interesting to see the Street's reaction. Here's the PR. SigmaTel Puts New Twist on MP3 Players
Tuesday November 8, 6:00 am ET - FunTwist's Latest D-Chord800 Delivers Outstanding Music in Multiple Formats Wirelessly and in Stereo via Bluetooth

AUSTIN, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Nov. 8, 2005--SigmaTel, Inc. (NASDAQ: SGTL - News), a leader in mixed-signal multimedia semiconductors, is helping the innovative portable music player maker FunTwist to cut customers free from clumsy wired headphones. The new FunTwist D-Chord800 delivers outstanding digital music performance in multiple formats wirelessly via a Bluetooth® link that switches to phone mode when it detects an incoming call.


FROM PRIOR POST #119

Trade Alerts - and brief status update:

Have cont'd accumulating EDGR - got some today as low as 1.90. Still love it. Re-read the Q2 cc. My confidence isn't quite what it was and the chart looks like one that only a loser could love, but I am still a believer. My gut says manipulation, but who is behind this inexplicable nose-dive? Maybe there really is bad news, which would certainly explain the amount of selling and lend credence to the Street noise. Then again, maybe the mysterious "poison pill" has something to do with this. More on that below. Indeed, this feels like the time that DESC unexplicably dove lower and lower. This time I am buying all the way down. Only time will tell if this is the correct move. I think this one may need a six to nine month timeframe, but it should rock'n roll at some point. How can a solid, business RU prof be wrong? He purchased at much lower levels, and most recently, purchased a big bunch at ~$2.77. Memo to self: go back to the older cc's to find the story behind the poison pill legal costs that was referenced in the Q2 cc...was someone interested in taking a position at an earlier time?

Sold half the position in OVTI at close to a wash - needed to make room for more EDGR. Same reason that I sold CKCM in the prior post.

Tomorrow night, SGTL reports - formally. I am staying tune for the updated guidance. Any chance we finally receive some well-deserved good news? If recent history is any indication, I would say no, which is why this s/b interesting. I think this is a great LT hold, but it's really trying my patience. Tomorrow night's call should answer a few questions.

TSCM reports on Thursday. Now, this is one that I am really looking forward to. Cramer's popularity is still blistering. He is on the cover of the current Business Week mag.
businessweek.com

New Positions
EDGR - love it - from my Insider trade proprietary model - purchases to date between 2.67 - 2.32
OVTI - love it - from my proprietary Huge Cash/High SI model- purchases to date between 12.46 - 12.27

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