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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory
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To: ild who wrote (45154)11/9/2005 10:24:14 AM
From: ild  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
Asia/Pacific: The Fear Factor

Andy Xie (Hong Kong)

Summary and Investment Conclusion

Fear of a bird flu pandemic is building around the world, especially in Asia – a region traumatized by the SARS outbreak in 2003. The fear factor has become a significant economic force in its own right. It may have already increased the risk premium on financial assets in Asia. If human-to-human transmission is confirmed, the fear factor is likely to exaggerate the economic impact significantly, making an Asian recession almost inevitable and a global recession quite likely.

morganstanley.com
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