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Strategies & Market Trends : Bonds, Currencies, Commodities and Index Futures

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To: Real Man who wrote (8368)11/12/2005 11:05:37 AM
From: c-hl  Read Replies (2) of 12411
 
The spiral never predict where the market should go. It just gives where you should long or short. It is a great tool, but I find you should not think too much if you use it. It hurts ur judgement.

As happened in Aug. when the down spiral had a vertical level at 1120, I said there was no way that SPX would go there. The reason was very simple, that kind of drop would mean bear market. The simpliest reason ususally is more covincing than anything else.

I am not good at fundamental analysis, so I can not bet anything for long term. Usually seasonality, cycles, momentum should be good enough for u to make judgement. Another one is what NYTT has been talking about, chart pattern comparison.
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