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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Short Candidates

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To: tuck who wrote (753)11/23/2005 10:35:13 PM
From: IRWIN JAMES FRANKEL  Read Replies (1) of 897
 
I agree that we should be looking for more shorts amoung the biotechs. But we should be ready to carry the positions into 2006 where we have a better chance of declines as the seasonal cash flows shift. If/when the Fed gets money tight enough for the risk premiums to expand it will tank the bio's.

ELN - I have been tempted to short it but lack the guts.

TEVA - while not a biotech looks way to pricy for a generic company (admittedly they have a cash-cow proprietary in Copaxone which appears to contribute a high share of EBITDA).

ij
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