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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: mistermj who wrote (175709)	11/24/2005 11:11:40 AM
From: Noel de Leon	Read Replies (1) of 281500

"For one thing they've been wrong since the 70's ...they just keep pushing back the date for peak oil." Where is your source for this obvious nonsense? Hubbert's Peak estimates 2005-2007 as the most likely years for peak world oil production with a declining plateau until 2040. Peak US oil production was predicted to occur in 1975. Peak US oil production occurred in 1970, some 5 years earlier. Page 158, Hubbert's Peak, 2001 "With history as my guide, I rather doubt we can look ahead in such a static way and predict something so dynamic." Using history and geology is precisely how Hubbert(US oil peak), Deffeyes(world oil peak), and others have reached their conclusions and predicted "something so dynamic". "Of course if you want to write a book and live off of the lecture cicuit...you best write something about doom and gloom." Typical no nothing ad hominem attack. No facts/attack the author.

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