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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: mistermj who wrote (175826)11/26/2005 8:31:46 PM
From: Noel de Leon  Read Replies (2) of 281500
 
Hubbert's model, published in 1956 worked for US oil production and it's peak. Hubbert was off by 5 years as I pointed out in a previous posting. Hubbert predicted 1975, US oil production peaked in 1970.

Your theory is that "It shows prediction models for peak oil do not predict."

Hubbert lay the ground work for oil production prediction in 1956 and in 1970 the value of this work was confirmed.

So prediction models can work. I hope we can agree on that.
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