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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Short Candidates

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To: tuck who wrote (757)11/27/2005 9:02:05 PM
From: quidditch  Read Replies (2) of 897
 
tuck, regarding NBIX and a buyout being baked in and supporting pps, I agree with you. As Jon said, it has ramped hard, but that is a big part of a rational case why a short here makes sense to me. If PFE were to make a move, doing so before Indiplon pdufa date would be perceived as rash to PFE s/holders (too high), and NBIX management would find it equally hard to justify buyout price (too low) to its shareholders before FDA action is taken (as well as before the next clinical results for GnRH candidate). The hard ramp in price, the regulatory window before it makes sense for either party to move seems to invite tuckaction.

(long a very modest NBIX position forever, with some fluctuations up and down, currently and for some time on the low end--wish I'd increased when Fred (or was it George) bought at $39 ish. Fred and George, must be Weasleys?)

quid
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