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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Spekulatius who wrote (22690)12/1/2005 11:58:42 PM
From: Paul Senior  Read Replies (2) of 78477
 
CSBK will get the thread's bank analysts' pencils moving again. -g-

It's been one controversial stock here.

The issue (for me) is how many shares should be considered outstanding for this company? This was discussed somewhat last year as you may recall. One link is here:

Message 20898825

The critical point (for me) is whether "we" are dividing the equity by 14M shares or 30M shares. Because if by 14M, then current price, now as then, is below - ah jeez, do I dare bring this up - current stated book value. Because (sigh), I am with blankmind on these bank stocks ("I've found it nearly impossible to lose money on stocks that are profitable and trading below book value") - it's rare and a buying opportunity when bank stocks trade below stated book value.

Blankmind has said his record is 100% (that's scary); I recall that it is indeed very, very good. I suspect people may want to be very careful in challenging his analyses and betting against his conclusions. For me, for a small position, I'm willing to go WITH blankmind and so I put myself in the camp of "we" who will bet the correct number to use is $14M.

However, at this time, the stock has dropped from my first buys to slightly above my final purchases. And even with only a very, very small position I do not like to see these larger-than-expected short term losses I have. So I figure now near year-end is a an appropriate time for me to get some pain relief and take those losses to offset short term gains elsewhere.

Whether or not it is still or was ever a value stock, that I perhaps best leave to others to determine for themselves. -g-
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