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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: UncleBigs who wrote (46981)12/10/2005 1:08:34 PM
From: chainik  Read Replies (2) of 110194
 
<As we edge into 2006, I see a stronger dollar, weak housing, weak stock market and weak gold>

I am afraid I don't understand your logic. Stronger dollar in 2006 - probably. But how can you get housing, stock market and gold all weak?

If housing and stock market deteriorate in 2006, that would signal/lead to weakening of economy. Are there any reasons to doubt that the new maestro will lower interest rates? That should be very positive for gold and, with some delay, negative for USD.

I agree with your argument about the trends
"you can't tell a trend change from a correction until well after the fact". However, although the charts of HUI and APPL look similar, there are fundamental reasons why APPL is likely to be lower in a few years - and HUI higher.
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