Avian ("Bird") Flu Stocks Message Board

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Biotech / Medical : Avian ("Bird") Flu Stocks

NNVC 1.660

-2.4%

Oct 31 9:30 AM EST

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From: George Dawson	12/11/2005 4:15:52 PM
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Regarding the financial conspiracy theories on bird flu - even if true they miss the following points: 1. The the majority of flu experts in the world agree that this is a clear problem. 2. Flu pandemics occur as a historical fact 3. Pandemic flu viruses all have avian virulence factors 4. The low attack rate so far should not be taken as a sign that the virus will not acquire what is needed for human to human transmission. 5. If human to human transmission is acquired - there is no doubt that preparation is inadequate. To a large extent the issue of preparedness comes down to your philosophy on whether or not you should prepare for a fairly lethal and highly disruptive event. As some here have pointed out from an investment perspective that is very risky. On the other hand there might be a confluence of factors like the need to upgrade a seriously outdated vaccine production technology. George D.

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