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Non-Tech : The Woodshed

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To: SwampDogg who wrote (35725)12/15/2005 8:04:18 PM
From: TheSlowLane  Read Replies (1) of 60914
 
The Doctor says that while you may not like your cod liver oil, it's still good for you!

It's Always Darkest Before The Dawn

By Dr. Richard S. Appel

kitco.com

Excerpt:

"It may be difficult to accept but corrections are important for the gold Bull Market! It is normal for downdrafts during Bull Markets to be quite severe. In fact, they often appear to be more intense than most Bear Market down-legs. These secondary corrections act to frighten the weak holders out of the market. In this fashion they cleanse the market. After the tentative investors have jettisoned their positions, the market is then prepared to resume its skyward price assault.

I began anticipating this correction when gold ignored the resistance that should have appeared between $500 and $510 an ounce, and rocketed higher in price. Yet, I wondered from what price level it would occur. When gold did not hesitate, and immediately broke through the $500-$510 area, I sensed that the buyers and trapped short-sellers had panicked. With some trepidation, I was uncertain if this zone would be left untested, by a downward leg, as gold extended its upward climb. I was concerned because I felt that the upswing was too sharp to be sustainable, and feared that the higher the yellow metal went without a correction, the more severe would be its decline when it arrived.

In the December issue of Financial Insights with gold at $495.90, I wrote regarding the $500-$510 range, “Importantly, to my mind, any show of substantial near-term strength from this level should be viewed as a change in the tone of the market. It will indicate that far greater demand, if not panic, abounds for the eternal metal”. I went on and said, “The road ahead will similarly be fraught with periodic, sharp price declines as gold works its way higher in price. If you anticipate their appearance as I do, your life will be far less stressful”. It is amazing how quickly the lust for the precious metal was replaced by outright fear!"
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