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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: Sam Citron who wrote (45839)12/16/2005 8:50:57 PM
From: John VosillaRead Replies (2) of 306849
 
<Mr. Gieber doubts the housing slowdown will be as bad as Wall Street expects and believes some publicly traded homebuilders will even thrive, making their current low valuations a good buying opportunity.>

Where was he in 2000 when anything real estate related was dirt cheap? Perhaps analyzing dotbombs<g>

<The other thing people fail to appreciate is the changing nature of the balance sheets of home builders. The last time there was a significant downturn in housing -- 1993 and 1994 -- home builders were a different breed. A lot of builders then bought land outright and built homes "on spec." That led to greater swings in the industry. That has diminished>

total bullshit<g>..... today the new age terms that explain the nonsense are no money down, option ARM, flipping contracts, preconstruction cocktail parties, cash out refis and 20% appreciation forever even if no one can really afford the property outright.. If anyone had told me five years ago this would be what real estate would become today I'd have thought they were completely nuts.. Yeah and I guess the builders putting up new product on land they paid 20 times what it was worth 5 years ago are at no risk. They build till they go bankrupt... happens every time..
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