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Technology Stocks : Semi Equipment Analysis
SOXX 306.040.0%Dec 26 4:00 PM EST

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To: robert b furman who wrote (27508)12/17/2005 6:28:13 PM
From: Return to Sender  Read Replies (3) of 95639
 
Bob, be careful reading too much into any single indicator. The BPNDX might now be artificially high at a time when the NDX has signaled a strong top is being put in place. You will see this when you consider the high volume this week which was even higher than the high volume last week. And yesterday was big volume! Page down:

investorshub.com

It's important to note not just the absolute numbers like a BPNDX of 80 or more being a topping number but also look for positive or negative divergences. By that I mean the BP numbers now are in general lower than at the previous tops set during the last few years.

investorshub.com

Could that mean there is more room to run? It's possible but when you look at market breadth numbers you will see that we have been making new highs with lower numbers of stocks participating in the overall move. In addition the NASI has turned south although it could still reverse. If it does not reverse and the trend changes to down then that's a longer term trend signal change:

investorshub.com

It's not likely that January this year will be anything different than the last two years. December is not over yet though...

RtS
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