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Strategies & Market Trends : Short Selling, Dark Side, Bubble Busting Laboratory

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To: kailuabruddah who wrote (218)	12/22/2005 9:14:38 AM
From: russwinter	Read Replies (2) of 361

I picked up CCL Jan 55 puts yesterday on the low volume bounce back up to 54.25. High volume alert, and weak money flow, 8 convergence at 53.98. stockcharts.com[l,a]daclniay[pd20,2!b200][vc60][iUc20!Lf]&pref=G SBUX looking similar, a 9 convergence overhead at 30.98. stockcharts.com[l,a]daclniay[pd20,2!b200][vc60][iUc20!Lf]&pref=G WM has very bearish divergence of money flow and acc/dist on this parabolic move to new highs. stockcharts.com[l,a]daclniay[pd20,2!b200][vc60][iUc20!Lf]&pref=G Think I may just load a Feb 47.5/42.5 bear spread if it runs a little higher. And what a strange play fundamantally here with the refi market swooning and a flat yield curve. How do they make money now? Before they snatched it back somewhat, yesterday was shaping up as a big reversal day. Today there is a monster 24.0 billion TOMO expiring, bullandbearwise.com as well as a 4.6 TIO. If they let a big chunk of it lapse, could get interesting. The January SPY puts have the lowest implied vol I've ever seen, at about 9.75. About as close to a freebee premium as you'll ever get. More signs of retail weakness, BBBY. I finally got lucky on one, had Jan 45 puts.

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