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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace

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To: mishedlo who wrote (127651)1/4/2006 8:54:08 AM
From: marginmike  Read Replies (3) of 209892
 
mish I am not as bearish long term as you. Though I think 2006 will be lousey for stocks into fall say down 10%, and yes i agree with your opinion that we get a recession. I also believe that in late 06 we will make a meaningfull bottom and have a massive rally. The reasons I believe this

1)Money creation is in overdrive, in the short term this is good for stocks

2)after a 20% quick hit to housing the prices will stabilize as they have in Europe and Australia

3)After a recession in 3-4Q the economy will gallop out on strength in every region of the world

4)Housing money will rotate back in to stock as has happened in Europe and Australia(despite 20% fall in housing markets at all time high)

5)The comodity bull after a slight pause will go nuts as demand shoots through the roof.

6)The Us dollar will drop, also helping stock and comodity prices
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