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Strategies & Market Trends : The New Economy and its Winners

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To: Lizzie Tudor who wrote (26825)1/8/2006 6:03:28 PM
From: Lazarus_Long  Read Replies (1) of 57684
 
Rapid US economic growth persists
The US economy has continued to grow quickly despite the impact of hurricanes and record high oil prices.

The Department of Commerce said that gross domestic product (GDP) increased by an annual rate of 4.1% in the three months to the end of September.

That was the fastest rate of growth since the first quarter of 2004, and up from 3.3% in the previous three months.

Consumer demand - which has been helped by discounting - was the key driver, along with business investment.

'Big theme'

Consumer spending, which accounts for nigh on two-thirds of economic activity, increased by more than 4% during the third quarter, up from 3.4% in the previous three month period.

On the negative side, growth in the third quarter was less than had been initially predicted and corporate earnings slid as companies had to meet the cost of hurricanes Rita and Katrina.

Many analysts are predicting that growth is likely to slow to around 3% in the fourth quarter as firms, especially in the car industry, offered fewer discounts.

"The big theme in the fourth quarter is going to be consumption spending, that is the real driver," said Elisabeth Denison, an economist at Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein.
news.bbc.co.uk

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US budget deficit shrinks in 2005
The US budget deficit shrank to $319bn (£180bn) last year as better economic conditions boosted tax revenues.

Despite falling from 2004's record $412bn figure, the federal deficit for the fiscal year ending last month was still the third highest on record.

US Treasury Secretary John Snow hailed the fall, which was larger than had been projected, as "encouraging news".

However, this year's deficit is likely to be swelled by $30bn of spending on post-Hurricane Katrina reconstruction.

Katrina costs

According to figures from the US Treasury Department, only $4bn of the $62bn allocated by Congress in emergency aid for Hurricane Katrina was spent in the last fiscal year.

When it reconvenes on Monday, the House of Representatives will begin the task of identifying $35bn worth of cuts to federal spending needed to offset hurricane recovery costs.

Lower taxes and pro-growth economic policies have created millions of jobs
John Snow
US Treasury Secretary

The 2005 fiscal year deficit amounted to 2.6% of GDP, below the 3.6% recorded in 2004 and the post World War Two high of 6% in 1983.

"While deficits are never welcome, the fact that we finished fiscal year 2005 with a much-lower-than-expected deficit is encouraging news," Mr Snow said.

"Lower taxes and pro-growth economic policies have created millions of jobs and a growing economy that has swelled tax revenues over the past year," he added.

Robust growth

The US economy has enjoyed robust growth, expanding by more than 3% in each of the past nine quarters.

However, the Treasury Department believes Hurricane Katrina could reduce growth by 0.5% in the current quarter.

Katrina contributed to a fall in the number of people in work last month, the first monthly decline in two years.

The White House initially forecast a 2005 deficit of $427bn at the start of the calendar year, but has steadily revised the figure downwards since then.

news.bbc.co.uk
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